State of the Union and Iran Strike

Iran strike odds surge post State of the Union. Market recap.

Since the State of the Union address, Polymarket odds of the United States striking Iran have increased by roughly 40%. The probability now sits at 59% by March 31 and 69% by the end of June.

Quick recap. Bitcoin has had a solid rally, up over 6%. The S&P 500 rebounded but did not make new highs. Small caps did not follow. Gold and silver rose. The euro ticked up against the yen and aussie and cable rallied.

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